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Yokohama-shi future population prediction

Future population prediction of Yokohama-shi

1 period by estimate
 We did 2010 with time standard criterion and estimated each age until 2035. In addition, for reference price, we estimated 2036 through 2060.


2 methods by estimate
    The individuals born during the same period factor method

   (we will suppose value every group) which gave birth to birth, the death, transference, transference that are factor of the increase and decrease of population for in the individuals born during the same period (same year or the same period by the individuals born during the same period factor method in the future individually and estimate future population.)

 Furthermore, by this estimation, we set high rank (case that there is much birth, and there is little death) and temporary set price of low degree (case that there is little birth, and there is much death) about value in birth, the future of the death and estimated high rank low degree by estimate.

   Summary (Yokohama-shi) of method by estimate [PDFPortable Document Format (242KB)]
 
Summary of 3 results by estimate
   ●Peak of population of Yokohama-shi is approximately 3,736,000 people in 2,019 years
   ●Juvenile population (0-14 years old), productive population (15-64 years old) decrease, and aging population (65 years old) increases
   ●As for the aging rate at increase, population peak hour (2019) in 25.0%, 2,060 years (reference level) in more than 35.3%

<<result by estimate >>
   For each year, three wards of age according to man and woman of Yokohama-shi population Excel format (127KB) according to age 5 years old rank



[value of future population of Yokohama-shi by estimate]
Value of future population of Yokohama-shi by estimate

(unit: 1,000)
 20102015202020252030203520402045205020552060
  3,689 3,725 3,735 3,718 3,681 3,629 3,564 3,488 3,405 3,314 3,214
High rank estimation 3,689 3,747 3,789 3,804 3,799 3,779 3,750 3,716 3,680 3,640 3,595
Low degree estimation 3,689 3,705 3,685 3,638 3,573 3,491 3,394 3,284 3,162 3,029 2,887
*After 2040 is reference level


[population for three wards of future population prediction level age of Yokohama-shi]
Population for three wards of future population prediction level age of Yokohama-shi

[ratio for three wards of future population prediction level age of Yokohama-shi]
Ratio for three wards of future population prediction level age of Yokohama-shi



As a result of 5 high ranks low degree estimation by estimate
   About birth and future change of the death, it is result that set temporary set price of each high rank, low degree by estimate.

    As a result of high rank low degree estimation by estimate (men's and women's age three wards classification, age 5 years old rank distinction) Excel format (91KB)


Population of each ward


1 period by estimate 
   We did 2010 with time standard criterion and estimated every five years until 2035. In addition, for reference price, we estimated 2060 in 2055 in 2050 in 2045 for 2,040 years.


2 methods by estimate
  Individuals born during the same period share extension law


      Summary (distinction) of method by estimate [PDFPortable Document Format (242KB)]


<<result by estimate >>
   Population Excel format (150KB) according to age 5 years old rank according to man and woman of distinction

The number of the households of Yokohama-shi, each ward

1 period by estimate
 We did 2010 with time standard criterion and estimated every five years until 2035. In addition, for reference price, we estimated 2060 in 2055 in 2050 in 2045 for 2,040 years.

2 methods by estimate
      The family nurturer rate method
 This estimation set future family nurturer rate from men's and women's age 5 years old floor class, past trend of family nurturer rate according to family type based on national census result and estimated taking advantage of estimated population.

   Summary (Yokohama-shi, distinction) of method of the number of the households by estimate [PDFPortable Document Format (250KB)]


3 results by estimate
<<result (2010 through 2035) by estimate >>
     Number of the households (city, distinction) Excel format (38KB) according to family type


[estimation of the number of the households according to family type of Yokohama-shi]
Estimation of the number of the households according to family type of Yokohama-shi

[ratio of number of the households according to family type of Yokohama-shi]
Ratio of number of the households according to family type of Yokohama-shi
 

Related information

■National Institute of Population and Social Security Research
 Future population - April, 2017 (Heisei 29) - in Japan by estimate by estimate
 Future population - March, 2013 (Heisei 25) - according to area of Japan by estimate by estimate
 Number of the Japanese households future estimation (national estimation) - January, 2013 (Heisei 25) - by estimate
 Number of the Japanese households future estimation (the metropolis and districts) - April, 2014 (Heisei 26) - by estimate
Policy Bureau policy section - December 27, 2012 making - update
It is inquiry - ss-seisaku@city.yokohama.jp - telephone opinion: 045-671-2028 - FAX: 045-663-1225
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