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Yokohama-shi future population prediction

Future population prediction of Yokohama-shi

1 period by estimate
 We did 2015 with time standard criterion and estimated each age until 2065.


2 methods by estimate
    The individuals born during the same period factor method

   (we will suppose value every group) which gave birth to birth, the death, transference, transference that are factor of the increase and decrease of population for in the individuals born during the same period (same year or the same period by the individuals born during the same period factor method in the future individually and estimate future population.)

 Furthermore, by this estimation, we set high rank (case that there is much birth, and there is little death) and temporary set price of low degree (case that there is little birth, and there is much death) about value in birth, the future of the death and estimated high rank low degree by estimate.

   Summary (Yokohama-shi) of method by estimate [PDFPortable Document Format (259KB)]
 
Summary of 3 results by estimate
   ●Peak of population of Yokohama-shi is 2019
   ●Population is approximately 3,730,000 people in peak
   ●Ratio (aging rate) that person 65 years or older occupies is 35.6% in 24.8%, 2,065 years at population peak hour (2019)

<<result by estimate >>
   For each year, three wards of age according to man and woman of Yokohama-shi for four wards of age population Excel format (234KB) according to age 5 years old rank 
   Population dynamics (birth, the death, transference, transference) Excel format (34KB) of Yokohama-shi 



[value of future population of Yokohama-shi by estimate]

(unit: 1,000)
 201520202025203020352040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065
Average estimation 3,725 3,733 3,710 3,665 3,602 3,524 3,437 3,346 3,249 3,139 3,020
High rank estimation 3,725 3,754 3,762 3,746 3,708 3,653 3,591 3,529 3,467 3,398 3,317
Low degree estimation 3,725 3,712 3,660 3,588 3,502 3,402 3,292 3,175 3,047 2,904 2,753
 


[population for three wards of future population prediction level age of Yokohama-shi]

[ratio for three wards of future population prediction level age of Yokohama-shi]



As a result of 4 high ranks low degree estimation by estimate
   About birth and future change of the death, it is result that set temporary set price of each high rank, low degree by estimate.

    As a result of high rank low degree estimation by estimate (men's and women's age three wards classification, age 5 years old rank distinction) Excel format (293KB)


Population of each ward


※ We are going to announce estimation that assumed 2015 time standard criterion in about March, 2018. 
   

The number of the households of Yokohama-shi, each ward


※ We are going to announce estimation that assumed 2015 time standard criterion in about March, 2018.    
 


Related information

■As a result of 2012 (Heisei 24) estimation

■National Institute of Population and Social Security Research
 Future population - April, 2017 (Heisei 29) - in Japan by estimate by estimate
 Future population - March, 2013 (Heisei 25) - according to area of Japan by estimate by estimate
 Number of the Japanese households future estimation (national estimation) - January, 2013 (Heisei 25) - by estimate
 Number of the Japanese households future estimation (the metropolis and districts) - April, 2014 (Heisei 26) - by estimate
Policy Bureau policy section - December 1, 2017 making - update
Opinion, inquiry - ss-seisaku@city.yokohama.jp - telephone: 045-671-2028 - FAX: 045-663-1225
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